At about 1 PM, I visited my polling place, Keister Elementary, to cast my ballot in the 2016 election. The drive leading up to the school was blanketed with signs for the various candidates. Outside of the building, there were people handing out both Republican and Democratic sample ballots. The fact that the Republicans openly encouraged voters to cast their ballots for Independent City Council candidate George Hirschmann seemed to further prove that he is not, in fact, an independent, but rather a Republican who is trying to obscure his party status. In addition, a woman stood outside conducting an exit poll, which I thought was quite exciting! More on this issue in a moment.
I expected that there would be quite a long line inside, but was surprised that I only had to wait for a minute or two. Apparently, traffic had been particularly heavy earlier and many people had already voted, but I just happened to be there during a lull.
Voting was actually fairly difficult this year. I knew my vote for president, of course, but hadn’t decided upon the names for my write-ins for various offices where I either didn’t know or care much for the candidates listed.
Anyway, when I got back outside, the pollster asked for whom I cast my ballot for president and whether I had voted in the 2012 presidential election. I told her that I voted for the same candidate in 2016 that I did in 2012. I then asked if she could tell me the results of her poll thus far. Although I expect that Hillary Clinton will win Harrisonburg, given that Keister is one of the most Republican precincts in the city I assumed that Donald Trump would be winning the exit poll or that it would be very close. However, that was not the case. Of the multitude of respondents, about 60% said they voted for Clinton, 30% were for Trump, and Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, Evan McMullin, and write-ins split the remaining approximate 10%. Yes, in this exit poll Clinton had about twice the votes that Trump had. The pollster theorized that perhaps Trump voters were far less likely to admit that they cast their ballots for Trump, but I thought this unlikely. What it told me is that if these numbers hold, Hillary Clinton will win Harrisonburg by a far larger margin than I anticipated and will likely perform even better in Virginia than what people say. If she wins Virginia by a sizable factor, then it might end up being a very quick election night reminiscent of 1996 when Bill Clinton bested Bob Dole.
Yes, Keister is only one of many polling places in Harrisonburg, but the exit poll doesn’t seem to bode well for Mr. Trump and the Republicans. It will be fun to discover if this poll is accurate or not!