Today, Quinnipac released their first poll for the U.S. Senate race in Virginia. Not surprisingly, Senator Mark Warner currently enjoys a comfortable lead over former RNC leader Ed Gillespie, 46%-31%. However, it should be noted that Mr. Gillespie is not the Republican nominee at this point given that he faces Shak Hill and two other challengers at the June state convention. Somewhat surprisingly, the poll also includes Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis who currently stands at 6%, close to the vote percentage he won for governor in the 2012 contest.
As the poll indicates, presently Warner enjoys a plurality of support in his reelection effort 49%-36%. He is viewed mostly favorably by Virginia voters, 49%-30%. Should he end up becoming the Republican nominee, most voters (64%) don’t know enough about Ed Gillespie. At the same time, 80% don’t know enough about Sarvis to form an opinion.
You can find the details of the rest of the poll by following this link.
Yes, it is still quite early in the process, but like most of the pundits out there, at this point I would expect Senator Warner to easily win reelection in November. Can that outcome change? Of course it can.